Short and Medium Term Market Trends: 2-4-2016

Market Traget Crossword

This Market is boring the hell out of me – I like to buy stocks on my watchlist during serious volatility, and tend to sell my most overpriced assets when things get too frothy.  Right now we are range bound – which keeps me on the sidelines.

At times like this – I like to read as much as I can, especially from sources that challenge the pillars of my investment process.  Might sound boring, but at least it keeps me out of the Bars!

Small Caps and Technology are still going down – Bonds and Gold are still going up – interesting divergence in the Sectors – look at Healthcare -3 and Utilities +3.

The following chart is based on the Z Option Market Analysis Tool – which determines if a market is trending by assigning a trending score from -3 to +3.  This helps us keep our trading with the trend.

Symbol Description Short Term Trend Medium Term Trend
$DJI Dow Jones Industrial Average 2 -1
SPX S&P 500 INDEX -1 -3
RUT RUSSELL 2000 INDEX -3 -3
NDX NASDAQ-100 INDEX INDEX -3 -3
VIX CBOE MARKET VOLATILITY INDEX -3 1
/ZB[H6] 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond Futures,ETH 3 3
/ZN[H6] 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note Futures,ETH 3 3
/GC[J6] Gold Futures, ETH 3 3
/CL[H6] Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures,ETH -3 -3
/DX[H6] US Dollar Index Futures -3 -2
$DJT Dow Jones Transportation Average 2 -1
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST TECHNOLOGY SELECT INDEX -1 -3
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST INDUSTRIAL SELECT INDEX 2 -1
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST CONSUMER DIS SELECT INDEX -3 -3
XLB SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST MATERIALS SELECT SEC INDEX 2 -1
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST ENERGY SELECT INDEX 2 -1
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST CONSUMER STAPLES INDEX -2 1
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST HEALTH CARE SELECT INDEX -3 -3
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST UTILITIES SELECT INDEX 3 3
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR FUND -3 -3

Any market showing a 3 or a -3 is trending strongly – and should be factored into any options strategy you are contemplating.

z - even even smaller

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