Stock Picks – 52 Week Low Screen

Dodged a serious bullet by selling out of my Gilead Sciences holdings last week at a slight loss – stock is down over 9% this morning after reporting earnings.  I made the move based on my Portfolio Rules – but sometimes you just get lucky.

Here are all the stocks that passed the 52 Week Low Screen this week:

Ticker Price Fair Value Margin of Safety Yield %
WSM $46.72 $73.00 $26.28 3.2%
VFC $48.57 $73.00 $24.43 3.2%
GILD $66.24 $98.00 $31.76 2.5%

Click on the link to research further.

Williams-Sonoma still looks interesting – but I am waiting for a big down day to make a move.  Not sure about Gilead Sciences – need to see where Morningstar’s new Fair Value lands.

Update: Morningstar lowered GILD’s fair value estimate to $84 from $98.

52 Week Low stock picks are based on the following screen:

  1. Morningstar analysis available.
  2. Less than 5% above its 52 week low.
  3. Greater than or equal to Narrow moat.
  4. Free cash flow/enterprise value greater than 5% (should be above what the 10 Year Treasury Bond is yielding).
  5. Financial Health Grade >= B.
  6. Forward P/E <= 20.
  7. Stock Industry not = Asset Management
  8. Dividend Yield % >= 2.5
  9. For candidates that have passed all the filters, review the individual stocks Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) for the previous 10 years to select the best long term candidates.

Extra:  Oprah Winfrey is killing it:

z - even even smaller

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