Short and Medium Term Market Trends: 11-19-2015

Market Traget Crossword

Back to rally mode for most of the major Indices – exceptions being the small cap Russell 2000, commodities, and bonds.  Bad news is good news again, which does not make me enthusiastic about this rally.

The following chart is based on the Z Option Market Analysis Tool – which determines if a market is trending by assigning a trending score from -3 to +3.  This helps us keep our trading with the trend.

Symbol Description Short Term Trend Medium Term Trend
$DJI Dow Jones Industrial Average 3 3
SPX S&P 500 INDEX 3 3
RUT RUSSELL 2000 INDEX -3 -3
NDX NASDAQ-100 INDEX INDEX 3 3
VIX CBOE MARKET VOLATILITY INDEX 1 -1
/ZB[Z5] 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond Futures,ETH -1 -3
/ZN[Z5] 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note Futures,ETH -3 -3
/GC[Z5] Gold Futures, ETH -3 -3
/CL[F6] Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures,ETH -3 -3
/DX[Z5] US Dollar Index Futures 1 3
$DJT Dow Jones Transportation Average 3 3
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST TECHNOLOGY SELECT INDEX 3 3
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST INDUSTRIAL SELECT INDEX 3 3
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST CONSUMER DIS SELECT INDEX 3 3
XLB SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST MATERIALS SELECT SEC INDEX 3 3
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST ENERGY SELECT INDEX -3 -2
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST CONSUMER STAPLES INDEX 2 3
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST HEALTH CARE SELECT INDEX 1 3
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST UTILITIES SELECT INDEX -1 -3
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR FUND 3 3

Any market showing a 3 or a -3 is trending strongly – and should be factored into any options strategy you are contemplating.

The Gap reports earning tonight – it will be interesting to see the results given the company’s current depressed valuation.

z - even even smaller

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