Stock Picks – 52 Week Low Screen: 11-18-2015

52 Week Low

Looking to close out my Wal-Mart trade today – if I can close it for $50.00, will pull the trigger – lock in the $900.00 profit (Note: TD Ameritrade does not charge transaction costs for options trades under .05 per option).

Here are the results from the 52 Week Low Screen:

Name Ticker Price Fair Value Margin of Safety Yield % MOS %
Gap Inc GPS $25.02 $45.00 $19.98 3.6% 44.4%
Suburban Propane Partners LP SPH 30.17 39 $8.83 11.7% 22.6%
Rockwell Automation Inc ROK $103.06 $120.00 $16.94 2.5% 14.1%

Tempted to take a flyer on the GAP after my Wal-Mart trade closes. Also, take a look at the yield on Suburban Propane Partners! Propane usage is in secular decline, so this is a classic value trap – but 11.7% – that is $887.50 every 3 Months on a $30,000 investment.

Based on the following screen:

  1. Morningstar analysis available.
  2. Less than 5% above its 52 week low.
  3. Greater than or equal to Narrow moat.
  4. Free cash flow/enterprise value greater than 5% (should be above what the 10 Year Treasury Bond is yielding).
  5. Financial Health Grade >= B.
  6. Forward P/E <= 20.
  7. Stock Industry not = Asset Management
  8. Dividend Yield % >= 2.5
  9. For candidates that have passed all the filters, review the individual stocks Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) for the previous 10 years to select the best long term candidates.

z - even even smaller

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